UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 0-3
Lille vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
24%
26%
51%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
MET
71%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
GCZ
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 2
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIL
30%
26%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FCP
2 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WBA
1 - 3
FCP
24%
23%
53%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
EVE
1 - 1
FCP
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCP
0 - 0
ASS
58%
23%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
GNK
1 - 3
FCP
21%
23%
57%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |