Lille vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
LIL
4 - 1
VAL
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
CAN
2 - 2
LIL
28%
30%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
LIL
3 - 2
CAE
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 1
LIL
38%
29%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 2
SOC
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2000 |
RED
2 - 2
FCG
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 0
LUS
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 3
FCG
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2000 |
FCG
4 - 0
CAE
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |