Lille vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 3
LIL
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 2
LIL
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 3
LIL
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 0
REN
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ETG
5 - 1
SOC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
ETG
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ETG
3 - 1
LHA
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 1
MPL
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
ETG
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |