Lille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DIJ
1 - 2
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIL
3 - 1
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LIL
3 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LIL
2 - 1
NAN
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 0
GUI
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAE
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
AMI
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
MPL
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAE
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |