Lille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAN
0 - 0
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 1
LYO
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 0
LIL
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 1
PSG
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
53%
27%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 1
GUI
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAE
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
NIC
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ASN
2 - 0
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ASN
4 - 2
CAE
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |