Lille vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 0
LIL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
REN
2 - 0
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
50%
24%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
F95
0 - 5
BYM
8%
17%
76%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BYM
2 - 0
HOF
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 1
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 2
BYM
12%
19%
69%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BYM
3 - 0
WOL
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |