Lille vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
16%
25%
60%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 2
PSG
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
FCK
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 0
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 0
TOR
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FKR
0 - 4
BAT
10%
18%
72%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GOM
1 - 2
BAT
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
IKS
1 - 1
BAT
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 0
IKS
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |