Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
LIL
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASN
60%
25%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 2
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
ANG
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
GAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |