Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 1
TRO
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
LIL
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
LIL
2 - 0
MPL
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 1
REN
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 2
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAS
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |