Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
MPL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
KRA
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 0
NAN
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
TFC
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |