Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
LIL
3 - 1
LEN
30%
30%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
LHA
0 - 1
LIL
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
LIL
1 - 0
GIR
25%
28%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
ASS
3 - 3
LIL
55%
25%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 2
PSG
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
BAS
6 - 3
CAN
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
MON
2 - 1
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 2
NAN
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |