Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
REN
0 - 0
LIL
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 1
NÎM
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
SOC
2 - 0
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
BAS
2 - 1
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
AUX
1 - 1
BAS
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |