Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1982 |
MPL
2 - 1
LIL
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
LIL
0 - 1
GIR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
LYO
4 - 1
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
LIL
1 - 0
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
GIR
4 - 0
BAS
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
ASN
2 - 1
BAS
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |