Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ANG
3 - 2
LIL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 1
SOC
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
LYO
2 - 2
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 0
NÎM
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
ASN
2 - 0
LIL
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
PSG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
LYO
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
NIC
2 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |