Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1978 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
LIL
0 - 0
ANG
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
LIL
4 - 0
NIC
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
ASS
5 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 0
NÎM
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
REI
1 - 1
BAS
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
62%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 2
STL
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |