Lille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
NÎM
5 - 2
LIL
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
LIL
3 - 3
NIC
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
RED
0 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASN
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1972 |
LIL
0 - 1
ANG
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 0
GIR
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
ANG
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 1
LYO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
MAR
0 - 2
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
BAS
2 - 1
AJA
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |