Lille vs Avignon AS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1976 |
REI
2 - 0
LIL
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
SOC
4 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
ASA
3 - 4
GIR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ASN
6 - 0
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 1
PSG
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASA
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 3
ASS
20%
28%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |