Lille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 1
LIL
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
LIL
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 5
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AUX
0 - 0
ASS
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 1
AUX
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 0
AUX
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 1
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 3
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |