Lille vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 0
BRE
63%
22%
16%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 1
LIL
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 2
LIL
17%
24%
60%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 3
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 0
DIJ
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
55%
21%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
77%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |