Lille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 1
LIL
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
TFC
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 3
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 0
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASS
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 0
AJA
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
MAR
12%
22%
66%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |