Lille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 3
LIL
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
LEN
45%
28%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
LIL
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MPL
0 - 1
AJA
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSG
27%
29%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
49%
28%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
TRO
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TFC
3 - 0
AJA
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |