Lille vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
28%
29%
44%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
0 - 0
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LYO
4 - 1
LIL
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
IST
0 - 1
LIL
21%
30%
49%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
AEK
3 - 1
ERG
77%
17%
7%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
AEK
1 - 1
AND
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
OLP
1 - 0
AEK
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
AEK
3 - 0
IRA
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
ACM
3 - 0
AEK
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | +1 |