Lillestrom II vs Verdal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
6º
24
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORK
4 - 2
LIL
50%
19%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
SUR
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 4
LIL
70%
16%
15%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 1
TIL
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 4
LIL
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VER
5 - 0
SUR
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
STA
3 - 3
VER
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VER
1 - 4
RFK
15%
17%
68%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
VER
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VER
1 - 4
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |