Lillestrom II vs Rosenborg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
6º
35
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
LIL
69%
15%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 2
LIL
11%
14%
75%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 1
SKT
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 2
LIL
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 4
NAR
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Rosenborg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 0
STA
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RFK
1 - 0
ROS
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 1
SUR
76%
13%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
VER
0 - 0
ROS
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
MEL
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |