Lillestrom II vs Orkla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
6º
21
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 3
STA
54%
19%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFK
4 - 0
LIL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
6 - 0
MOS
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VER
0 - 4
LIL
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 2
MEL
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Orkla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 0
NAR
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
ORK
71%
15%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ORK
3 - 0
VER
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RFK
5 - 0
ORK
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 1
ROS
36%
20%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |