Lillestrom II vs Nordstrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ELV
5 - 1
LIL
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
ROS
50%
20%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
LIL
69%
15%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 2
LIL
11%
14%
75%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 1
SKT
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
GJO
67%
19%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 4
FRI
33%
22%
45%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ASK
4 - 2
NOR
37%
23%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
OPP
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
GOF
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |