Lillestrom II vs Melhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
6º
42
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 3
LIL
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
RFK
24%
19%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SKT
5 - 0
LIL
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORK
4 - 2
LIL
50%
19%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Melhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
SUR
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
4 - 4
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 0
MOS
73%
15%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
4 - 1
MEL
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 0
TIL
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |