Lille U19 vs Sturm Graz U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 4
LIL
20%
20%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 2
LIL
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 3
PSG
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 2
LIL
23%
22%
56%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
GIR
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 3
STR
77%
14%
10%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 3
SPO
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 54 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
CLU
12%
15%
73%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 4
STR
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +2 |