Lille U19 vs USL Dunkerque U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
4º
35
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 0
LIL
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
1 - 2
ORL
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 4
LIL
20%
20%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 2
DKQ
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DKQ
0 - 2
PSG
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 2
DKQ
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
DKQ
2 - 1
QUE
58%
19%
23%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 1
DKQ
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |