Lille U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
4º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
LIL
68%
18%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 0
LIL
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
LIL
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 4
RAP
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
LIL
25%
22%
54%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
RAP
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 4
CAE
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
PSG
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
CAE
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 3
DKQ
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |