Lille U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
7º
2º
36
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIL
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
DKQ
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 2
LIL
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
REI
1 - 1
LIL
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
HAV
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PSG
4 - 3
CAE
89%
8%
4%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DKQ
0 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
5 - 1
CAE
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
DKQ
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |