Lille U17 vs USL Dunkerque U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
7º
4º
24
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
83.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
83.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 2
LIL
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
0 - 0
AUB
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUX
0 - 1
LIL
41%
22%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
0 - 2
TRO
56%
20%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 3
LIL
12%
16%
72%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
MON
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
DUN
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
DUN
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
AUB
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUX
4 - 3
DUN
86%
9%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |