Lille II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FCM
0 - 1
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NAN
3 - 2
LIL
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
5 - 3
NOI
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 0
RAO
39%
27%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
UJA
3 - 1
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 1
DUN
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
AMN
3 - 1
SPI
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 1
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |