Lille II vs Olympique Marcquois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
LIL
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
VIM
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AAC
1 - 2
LIL
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
USM
1 - 5
LIL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marcquois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 1
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |