Lille II vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
CAB
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
LIL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 0
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIL
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 3
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
IVR
1 - 2
AUB
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
IVR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
IVR
4 - 1
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 1
IVR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
IVR
1 - 2
POI
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |