Lille II vs USL Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 1
LIL
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AUB
0 - 0
LIL
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LIL
5 - 1
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
LIL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 1
LIL
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 0
AUB
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 3
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 2
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
EVR
0 - 0
DUN
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |