Lille II vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASB
1 - 0
LIL
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUB
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 0
AAC
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 3
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DRA
0 - 0
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASB
1 - 0
DRA
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DRA
3 - 0
POI
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 0
DRA
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DRA
2 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |