Lille II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
REI
2 - 3
LIL
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
FLE
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
FEI
2 - 2
LIL
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 3
LIL
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 1
IRI
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 4
SML
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FEI
0 - 0
ARR
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 1
LEN
23%
23%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SED
1 - 0
ARR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 1
BEL
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |