Ligny vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
49.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
LOY
2 - 1
LIG
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LIG
4 - 4
ROC
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 2
GRA
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BIE
4 - 3
LIG
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
LIG
4 - 1
GES
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
ROC
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ROC
6 - 1
CHE
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LIG
4 - 4
ROC
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 2
GES
86%
9%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BIE
2 - 1
ROC
54%
20%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |