Ligny vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NIS
0 - 4
LIG
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIG
3 - 1
SPY
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LIG
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LIG
0 - 0
PRO
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 1
LIG
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 8
JEU
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
3 - 1
NIS
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPY
2 - 4
ROC
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 2
GRA
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 0
ROC
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |