Ligny vs Fosses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 2
BEA
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CON
3 - 2
LIG
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 3
NIS
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
LIG
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
JEM
1 - 1
LIG
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOS
3 - 2
GES
86%
10%
5%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AIS
1 - 1
FOS
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FOS
3 - 2
ARQ
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FOS
4 - 1
JEM
85%
11%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FOS
3 - 2
PES
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |