Recopa Sudamerica . Final
Global 1-2
Liga de Quito vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 0
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IVT
0 - 0
LIG
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LIG
3 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 2
LIG
25%
28%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 1
FLU
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
73%
17%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAM
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BOA
2 - 2
FLU
6%
18%
76%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
4 - 1
BAN
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |