Liga do Sertao U20 vs CSE U20 analysis


7	ELO	11
0.4%	Tilt	-1.5%
18644º	General ELO ranking	15925º
644º	Country ELO ranking	499º
ELO win probability

34.8%

Liga do Sertao U20

21.7%

Draw

43.5%

CSE U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

34.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%

21.7%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

21.7%

43.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%