Liezen vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
76%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
12º
16º
16º
39
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liezen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FUR
2 - 0
LIE
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 4
VOI
7%
16%
77%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ILZ
3 - 3
LIE
65%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 2
GNA
28%
24%
49%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
MET
4 - 1
LIE
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
3 - 3
UGA
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
0 - 2
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
3 - 4
SCB
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVF
1 - 0
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 2
LAF
30%
21%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |