FK Jonava vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
16º
13º
31
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIE
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
MIN
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 0
LIE
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 4
LIE
11%
14%
75%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LIE
3 - 1
SIA
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
SIA
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
ZAL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
ZAL
4 - 3
FHL
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |