FK Jonava vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
16º
12º
13
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 29.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2025 |
KFM
2 - 3
LIE
16%
17%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NEP
0 - 2
LIE
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
FHL
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 2
BAB
10%
18%
72%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FKN
0 - 1
LIE
12%
14%
74%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
FHL
2 - 1
PAN
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 2
FKK
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 0
FKE
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 4
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |