FK Jonava vs Minija Kretinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
16º
12º
18
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 75 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 56 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 50 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 38 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 0
LIE
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 4
LIE
11%
14%
75%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LIE
3 - 1
SIA
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
PAN
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Minija Kretinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
SIA
4 - 0
MIN
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
PAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
DTE
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FHL
0 - 1
MIN
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
FKK
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |