FK Jonava vs FK Siauliai 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
16º
12º
11
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
PAN
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
KFM
2 - 3
LIE
16%
17%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NEP
0 - 2
LIE
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
FHL
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FK Siauliai 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 4
SIA
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SIA
1 - 1
FHL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKK
5 - 2
SIA
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIA
0 - 4
BFA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKE
4 - 1
SIA
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |