FK Jonava vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
16º
13º
14
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
8%
17%
76%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FKE
0 - 0
LIE
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIE
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
MIN
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 2
NEV
22%
24%
53%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
NEP
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
3 - 1
FKK
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |