FK Jonava vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
16º
16º
32
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 1
LIE
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
LIE
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 3
TRA
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 0
LIE
75%
18%
7%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FAS
2 - 0
LIE
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FKK
1 - 4
FKS
7%
14%
80%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
FKB
3 - 1
FKK
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FKK
3 - 0
NEP
9%
16%
74%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
FKS
1 - 0
FKK
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FKK
0 - 1
LIE
12%
20%
69%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |